1. Navigating in the Midst of More Uncertainty and Risk

This recent article highlights case studies and value of scenario planning in Morgan Stanley and other corporate settings.


2. New Directions: The Challenge of Growth in the West

This summary paper discusses the use of scenarios to address growth management in Missoula, Montana.


3. Generating Civic Will: Collaborative Scenario-based Engagement

This paper highlights the conceptual methodology of collaborative scenario-based engagement, outlines four case studies in public and civic settings, discusses stakeholder-related issues, and ends with a discussion of some key lessons from this approach.




The Art of the Long View, Peter Schwartz
Green to Gold, Dan Esty and Andrew Winston
What’s Next?: Exploring the New Terrain for Business, Eamonn Kelly
The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Wisdom of Crowds, James Surowiecki